J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 24, 2021 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium
Sagan Tosu3 - 3Cerezo
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 29.66% | 28.9% | 41.43% |
| Both teams to score 43.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.61% | 62.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.98% | 82.02% |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.72% | 74.28% |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% | 29.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.28% | 65.72% |
| Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 29.66%
Cerezo Osaka 41.42%
Draw 28.89%
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-3 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.01% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.46% Total : 41.42% |
How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Cerezo
Sagan Tosu
80.0%Draw
20.0%Cerezo Osaka
0.0%5
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 11am
Dec 16, 2020 10am
Gameweek 28
Cerezo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Toyokawa (44')
Higuchi (22'), Alves (90+1')
Nakano (24'), Lopez (90')
Nakano (24'), Lopez (90')
Jul 26, 2020 11am
Form Guide
