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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 22, 2021 at 6am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Yamashita (50'), Higuchi (78')
Dudu (41'), Seok-Ho (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matsumura (14')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKashima Antlers
22.88%26.44%50.68%
Both teams to score 45.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.15%57.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.43%78.57%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.1%40.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.53%77.47%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.72%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 22.88%
    Kashima Antlers 50.67%
    Draw 26.44%
Sagan TosuDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-1 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 3.75%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.88%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 13.81%
0-2 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-3 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 50.67%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2020 10.45am
Gameweek 24
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Kashima Antlers

Matsuoka (60')
Shirasaki (12'), Inukai (86')
Shirasaki (41')
Aug 8, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 5
Kashima Antlers
2-0
Sagan Tosu
Izumi (69'), Stum (80')
Machida (45')

Morishita (5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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