Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
