J1 League | Gameweek 18

Jun 26, 2022 at 11am UK

Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
5 - 0
FC Tokyo

Iwasaki (30'), Diego (48'), Honda (70'), Kakita (78', 85')
Diego (42'), Seok-Ho (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	FC Tokyo
47.43% ( -0.17)	27.27% ( 0.03)	25.3% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 45.6% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.04% (

-0.02)

58.96% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.56% (

-0.02)

79.44% (

0.02)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

-0.09)

24.93% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.44% (

-0.13)

59.56% (

0.13)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.74% (

0.11)

39.25% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.04% (

0.1)

75.96% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 47.42%

FC Tokyo 25.3%

Draw 27.27%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.42%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 25.3%