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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 7, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Miyashiro (43'), Kakita (85')
Naganuma (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 3-3 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, July 31 at 10am in J1 League

Jubilo Iwata

Last Six:
    Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
    Saturday, July 30 at 10.30am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 25.42%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

    Result
    Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
    47.33% (-0.681 -0.68) 27.25% (0.133 0.13) 25.42% (0.546 0.55)
    Both teams to score 45.76% (0.102 0.1)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    41.19% (-0.108 -0.11)58.81% (0.106 0.11)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    20.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)79.32% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
    Sagan Tosu Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    75.09% (-0.373 -0.37)24.9% (0.37 0.37)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    40.47% (-0.521 -0.52)59.53% (0.52 0.52)
    Jubilo Iwata Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    60.93% (0.433 0.43)39.06% (-0.434 -0.43)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    24.22% (0.402 0.4)75.78% (-0.405 -0.41)
    Score Analysis
        Sagan Tosu 47.33%
        Jubilo Iwata 25.42%
        Draw 27.25%
    Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
    1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
    2-0 @ 9.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
    2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
    3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
    3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.068 -0.07)
    3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
    4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
    Other @ 2.26%
    Total : 47.33%
    		1-1 @ 12.71% (0.07 0.07)
    0-0 @ 9.73% (0.039 0.04)
    2-2 @ 4.15% (0.026 0.03)
    Other @ 0.66%
    Total : 27.25%
    		0-1 @ 9.15% (0.144 0.14)
    1-2 @ 5.98% (0.1 0.1)
    0-2 @ 4.3% (0.117 0.12)
    1-3 @ 1.87% (0.053 0.05)
    0-3 @ 1.35% (0.052 0.05)
    2-3 @ 1.3% (0.023 0.02)
    Other @ 1.48%
    Total : 25.42%

    Head to Head
    Jun 18, 2022 10am
    Jubilo Iwata
    3-1
    Sagan Tosu
    Gonzalez (8', 13'), Kanuma (27')
    Gonzalez (47')
    Miyashiro (53')
    Tashiro (69')
    rhs 2.0
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    > View full version> Yesterday's results
    Tables header RHS
    TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
    1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
    2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
    3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
    4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
    5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
    6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
    7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
    8FC Tokyo36149134949051
    9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
    10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
    11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
    12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
    13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
    14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
    15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
    16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
    17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
    18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
    19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
    20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629
    > J1 League Full Table


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