Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
52.96% ( 0.22)	26.19% ( 0.26)	20.85% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 43.85% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.2% (

-1.35)

58.81% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.68% (

-1.06)

79.32% (

1.06)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

-0.46)

22.35% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17% (

-0.7)

55.83% (

0.71)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.47% (

-1.3)

43.54% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.26% (

-1.1)

79.74% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 52.95%

Jubilo Iwata 20.85%

Draw 26.19%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 14.57% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.95%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.85%