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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New York Stadium
Bolton logo

Rotherham
2 - 1
Bolton

Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 3-1 Bolton Wanderers

Fuelled by the frustration of their first setback in several months, Rotherham can use their attacking strength to take care of business against a Bolton side with several issues to overcome. The visitors have effectively been in hibernation for over two weeks, and were struggling for form beforehand, so will be unable to resist the well-drilled league leaders on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
55.2%23.2%21.6%
Both teams to score 53.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43%46.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.16%68.84%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.64%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22%35.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45%72.55%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 55.2%
    Bolton Wanderers 21.6%
    Draw 23.2%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.57%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 0.94%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 55.2%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.99%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 6.15%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.6%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Bolton

Rotherham United
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Bolton Wanderers
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bolton
2-1
Rotherham
Ameobi (33'), O'Neil (65')
Wilson (51'), Williams (98')
Vaulks (37')
Robertson (13')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Rotherham
1-1
Bolton
Vaulks (56')
Manning (81'), Mattock (89')
Doidge (84')
Lowe (24'), Vela (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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