Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.