League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

The New York Stadium

Rotherham
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Ladapo (24', 48'), Barlaser (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hemmings (44')
Borthwick-Jackson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 2-0 Burton Albion

Given their superb form this season, it is hard to see this encounter ending in anything but a home win, and we expect the Millers to clinch their fourth successive home league victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Burton Albion
60.61%	22.04%	17.35%

Both teams to score 50.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42%

47.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21%

69.78%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76%

15.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08%

43.92%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.04%

40.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.48%

77.52%

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 60.6%

Burton Albion 17.35%

Draw 22.04%

Rotherham United	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.31% Total : 60.6%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.04%	0-1 @ 5.57% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.35%