Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25

Apr 17, 2021 at 12pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
3 - 1
QotS

O'Hara (10'), Murray (82'), Henderson (90+1')
Whittaker (90+4'), Fon Williams (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maxwell (87')

The Match

Match Report

There were three goals in the final 10 minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Queen of the South
51.03%	24.13%	24.83%

Both teams to score 54.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.74%

47.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51%

69.48%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47%

18.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23%

49.76%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75%

33.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.14%

69.86%

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 51.03%

Queen of the South 24.83%

Draw 24.13%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.03%	1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.78% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.83%