Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21

Mar 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock

Morton
2 - 1
QotS

Nesbitt (19'), Oliver (61')
Fjortoft (23')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Obileye (45')
Gibson (27')

The Match

Match Report

Gary Oliver scored the winner.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Queen of the South
35.35%	26.46%	38.18%

Both teams to score 52.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.8%

52.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09%

73.91%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71%

28.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36%

64%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37%

26.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13%

61.87%

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 35.35%

Queen of the South 38.18%

Draw 26.45%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.35%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.18%