Akhmat Grozny

2 - 0

Arsenal Tula

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.