Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.