Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.