Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 1-0 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Akhmat Grozny in this match.
