Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.