Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.88%) and 1-3 (6.58%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.