Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 15.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.