Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 68.8%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.