Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.