MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 08:26:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 

Newry City AFC
4 - 1
Carrick

Rocks (28'), Donnelly (64'), Teelan (67', 83')
(45+1'), Donnelly (64'), Rocks (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitchell (41')
(82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 3-2 Ballymena
Tuesday, November 8 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
44.92% (0.378 0.38) 24.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 30.13% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.067999999999998 0.07)47.17% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)69.41% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.19799999999999 0.2)21.04% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.305 0.31)53.84% (-0.304 -0.3)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)29.18% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-0.233 -0.23)65.12% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 44.92%
    Carrick Rangers 30.13%
    Draw 24.94%
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Newry City AFC
Allen (37'), Gordon (76')
Lockhart (16')
(88')
Rocks (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield85211651117
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena95041412215
3LarneLarne742193614
4CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon942398114
6ColeraineColeraine8341139413
7GlentoranGlentoran941488013
8PortadownPortadown83321310312
9CrusadersCrusaders731357-210
10GlenavonGlenavon9234813-59
11Loughgall9126922-135
12Carrick RangersCarrick8107717-103


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