Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.