Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.