Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 91.8%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 2.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.25%) and 2-0 (11.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.94%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.