NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Taylors Avenue
Carrick3 - 6Glenavon
Chapman (10', 80'), Gibson (49')
Forsythe (55'), Glendinning (58'), McMullan (65'), Gordon (77'), Ramsey (87')
Forsythe (55'), Glendinning (58'), McMullan (65'), Gordon (77'), Ramsey (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hall (56', 88', 90+2' pen.), Campbell (57', 72'), Garrett (75')
Snoddy (58'), Campbell (58'), Fitzpatrick (60'), Singleton (69')
Snoddy (58'), Campbell (58'), Fitzpatrick (60'), Singleton (69')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
| 29.5% | 23.3% | 47.2% |
| Both teams to score 61.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
