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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
3 - 1
Glenavon

McElroy (60'), McCartan (70' pen.), Balmer (81')
Balmer (51'), Kelly (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Douglas (88')
Moorhouse (22'), Purkis (33'), Singleton (64'), Byrne (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
40.76%24.27%34.97%
Both teams to score 60.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57%42.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17%64.83%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06%20.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31%53.68%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91%58.09%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 40.76%
    Glenavon 34.97%
    Draw 24.26%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 8.75%
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.97%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Glenavon
3-2
Ballymena
Singleton (34'), G (39'), Purkis (78' pen.)
Campbell (37'), Moorhouse (45+1'), Snoddy (79')
Addis (58'), Hyland (66' og.)
S (62')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Glenavon
2-1
Ballymena
McCloskey (18'), O'Connor (35' pen.)
Garrett (37')
Kelly (90+2')
Hume (12'), Strain (50'), McCartan (88')
Nov 10, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Ballymena
0-2
Glenavon

Harpur (33')
Fitzpatrick (13'), Moorhouse (90+3')
Larmour (58'), Garrett (80')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Ballymena
0-3
Glenavon

Owens (34'), Friel (67'), Burns (90'), Carville (90')
Byrne (10'), Purkis (65'), Moorhouse (90')
Birney (83'), Garrett (85'), Doyle (90'), Singleton (90')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ballymena
2-1
Glenavon
Friel (48', 93')
Jenkins (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville168352216627
3GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
4Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon178272321226
6ColeraineColeraine177462822625
7PortadownPortadown167452317625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick164391828-1015
11GlenavonGlenavon173681124-1315
12Loughgall1732121842-2411


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