Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ballymena United in this match.