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National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Weymouth

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Weymouth

Greenidge (36'), Lyons-Foster (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bearwish (42')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 3-3 Weston
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWeymouth
42.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 25.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.1% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.33% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)47.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7% (0.023 0.02)69.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)21.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)55.25% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (0.016000000000005 0.02)27.81% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)63.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.8%
    Weymouth 32.1%
    Draw 25.1%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.1%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Tonbridge Angels
0-5
Weymouth
Rose (24'), O'Connell (27'), Ash (44', 45+4', 52')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Weymouth
1-3
Tonbridge Angels
O'Connell (48')
Akinwande (11'), Miles (32'), Addy (86')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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