MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 18:50:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Dover Athletic

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Dover Athletic

Poleon (18', 85'), Bingham (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

Last Six:
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South

Dover Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: Dover Athletic 4-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawDover Athletic
74.27% (1.439 1.44) 15.62% (-0.694 -0.69) 10.11% (-0.747 -0.75)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (1.139 1.14)34.81% (-1.139 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.22% (1.264 1.26)56.78% (-1.263 -1.26)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.02% (0.587 0.59)7.98% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.85% (1.464 1.46)28.15% (-1.464 -1.46)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.32% (-0.595 -0.59)43.68% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (-0.497 -0.5)79.86% (0.497 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 74.27%
    Dover Athletic 10.11%
    Draw 15.62%
EbbsfleetDrawDover Athletic
2-0 @ 11.14%
3-0 @ 9.39% (0.261 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-1 @ 7.78% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 5.94% (0.327 0.33)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3% (0.245 0.25)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.165 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.048 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.27% (0.136 0.14)
6-1 @ 1.05% (0.097 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 74.27%
1-1 @ 7.3% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 15.62%
1-2 @ 3.02% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-1 @ 2.89% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 10.11%

Head to Head
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Dover Athletic

Sutherland (40'), Ekpiteta (86')
Woods (14')
Passley (26'), Taylor (41'), Modeste (58'), Woods (65')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
1-1
Ebbsfleet
De Havilland (53')
L'Ghoul (26'), Reason (63'), Rigg (74')
Obileye (13')
Sutherland (53'), King (63')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Dover Athletic

Kedwell (62'), Rance (87')
Pavey (51')
Pavey (71'), Lewis (85'), Effiong (92')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Essam (34')
Nortey (15'), Essam (18'), Schmoll (62')
McQueen (12')
Rance (82')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Ebbsfleet
2-1
Dover Athletic
Shields (55'), Drury (90')
Clark (63'), Drury (78')
Marsh-Brown (90' pen.)
Bellamy (45'), Ilesanmi (80'), Brundle (90')
rhs 2.0
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