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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Dover Athletic

Worthing
1 - 1
Dover Athletic

FT(HT: 1-1)
Martin (37')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Dover Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 81.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 6.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.43%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawDover Athletic
81.71% (0.703 0.7) 12.13% (-0.434 -0.43) 6.15% (-0.2731 -0.27)
Both teams to score 45.79% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.74% (1.086 1.09)32.26% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (1.253 1.25)53.87% (-1.255 -1.26)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.06% (0.34999999999999 0.35)5.94% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.28% (0.98099999999999 0.98)22.71% (-0.984 -0.98)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.68% (0.018999999999998 0.02)51.32% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)85.55% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 81.71%
    Dover Athletic 6.15%
    Draw 12.13%
WorthingDrawDover Athletic
2-0 @ 12.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-0 @ 11.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 8.07% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.63% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.39% (0.133 0.13)
5-0 @ 4.56% (0.2 0.2)
5-1 @ 3.04% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 2.14% (0.136 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.43% (0.092 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 81.71%
1-1 @ 5.74% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-2 @ 2.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 12.13%
0-1 @ 2.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 1.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 6.15%

rhs 2.0
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