National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Ebbsfleet4 - 2Farnborough Town
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Farnborough Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Worthing | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Havant & Waterlooville | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Dover Athletic | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Farnborough Town | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Bath City | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Farnborough Town |
61.63% ( -0.07) | 21.41% ( 0) | 16.96% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
