Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
