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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
3 - 1
Brackley Town

Ackroyd (5'), De Girolamo (31'), Kirby (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Walker (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Buxton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-0 Darlington
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brackley Town had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Brackley Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawBrackley Town
50.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.36%24.25% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 49.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)74.39% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05%20.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.7% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.55%
Score Analysis
    Buxton 50.38%
    Brackley Town 24.25%
    Draw 25.36%
BuxtonDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 9.41%
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 24.25%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Brackley Town
2-0
Buxton
Stead (23', 85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe96211431120
2Chester FCChester95221410417
3Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton9522118317
4Chorley94411711616
5Alfreton TownAlfreton9441149516
6Leamington FCLeamington9432149515
7Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath94321511415
8Hereford UnitedHereford9351148614
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn9423910-114
10Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster9414139413
11Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic94141311213
12Darlington934286213
13Brackley Town94141110113
14South Shields94141314-113
15Spennymoor TownSpennymoor93331411312
16Buxton8404119212
17Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports9324811-311
18SouthportSouthport93241320-711
19Warrington Town92341013-39
20Needham Market9216514-97
21Rushall Olympic92071017-76
22Marine AFC9135312-96
23Oxford CityOxford City91351121-106
24RadcliffeRadcliffe80441220-84


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