Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.