Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.