Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.