Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.