Ligue 2 | Gameweek 16
Dec 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen1 - 0Bastia
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Angers 3-0 Caen
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 0-0 Auxerre
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Bastia |
44.7% ( 0.16) | 26.78% ( -0.08) | 28.52% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
