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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 7, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Bremer Brücke
Werder Bremen logo

Osnabruck
2 - 0
Werder Bremen

Trapp (45'), Kohler (90+6')
Kleinhansl (41'), Higl (86'), Kohler (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schmid (19'), Toprak (54'), Friedl (68'), Zetterer (82')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between VfL Osnabruck and Werder Bremen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
VfL OsnabruckDrawWerder Bremen
34.89%24.25%40.86%
Both teams to score 60.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65%42.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24%64.76%
VfL Osnabruck Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89%58.11%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14%20.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44%53.56%
Score Analysis
    VfL Osnabruck 34.89%
    Werder Bremen 40.86%
    Draw 24.24%
VfL OsnabruckDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.01%
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.89%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 4.58%
2-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 40.86%

rhs 2.0
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5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
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10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
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18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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