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San Lorenzo
Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2020 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Estudiantes

San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Estudiantes

Peralta Bauer (33'), Romero (68')
Peralta Bauer (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (12'), Diaz (49'), Guzman (54'), Lattanzio (88')
Guzman (67')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Estudiantes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawEstudiantes
32.5%29.02%38.48%
Both teams to score 44.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.86%62.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16%81.83%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76%35.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01%71.99%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71%31.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36%67.64%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 32.49%
    Estudiantes 38.47%
    Draw 29.02%
San LorenzoDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.02%
0-1 @ 12.8%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3%
Total : 38.47%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2020 10.40pm
Gameweek 17
San Lorenzo
1-1
Estudiantes
Pitton (63')
Donatti (21'), Poblete (45'), Romero (81'), Bareiro (85')
Retegui (69')
Mascherano (22'), Gonzalez (45'), Erquiaga (93'), Retegui (93')
Dec 8, 2018 8.10pm
Gameweek 15
San Lorenzo
1-1
Estudiantes
Botta (48' pen.)
Ferrari (29'), Salazar (67'), Rojas (85'), Belluschi (94')
Pavone (87' pen.)
Gomez (81'), Pellegrini (93')
rhs 2.0
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