Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 6, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico
Nacional0 - 012 de Octubre
Gabriel Gaona Lugo (10'), Daniel Orzusa Caceres (39'), Espinola (87')
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Aguilar (43'), Salinas (65')
12 de Octubre win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Club Nacional and 12 de Octubre.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest 12 de Octubre win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%).
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | 12 de Octubre |
| 39.21% | 24.38% | 36.41% |
| Both teams to score 59.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
