MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 19:05:53| >> :600:10407757:10407757:
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Tim Hortons Field

Forge
1 - 3
Guadalajara

Campbell (31')
Tavernier (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cowell (26', 62'), Marin (45+1')
Sanchez (56')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Forge and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forge

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-2 Guadalajara
Monday, February 5 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Forge had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Forge win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
ForgeDrawCD Guadalajara
34.28% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 27.81% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08) 37.92% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.257 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (0.321 0.32)57.61% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.254 0.25)78.38% (-0.253 -0.25)
Forge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.17299999999999 0.17)31.65% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.2 0.2)68.06% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.199 0.2)29.37% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65% (0.242 0.24)65.35% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Forge 34.27%
    CD Guadalajara 37.91%
    Draw 27.8%
ForgeDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.91%

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