Despite their struggles in recent weeks, Kalmar head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with the desired result as they take on a Varbergs side who have endured a turbulent campaign. Given the gulf in class and quality between the sides, we are tipping the hosts to return to winning ways on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kalmar.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
62.94% ( -0.48)	21.09% ( 0.21)	15.97% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 50.17% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.09% (

-0.42)

45.91% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.78% (

-0.4)

68.22% (

0.4)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

-0.28)

13.96% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.55% (

-0.55)

41.46% (

0.55)

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.31% (

0.09)

41.69% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.83% (

0.08)

78.17% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 62.94%

Varbergs BoIS 15.97%

Draw 21.08%

Kalmar	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 62.94%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.08%	0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.97%