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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Gamla Ullevi

Goteborg
1 - 2
Varbergs

Norlin (90+4' pen.)
Carlen (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krasniqi (55', 90')
Stanisic (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Goteborg and Varbergs BoIS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halmstad 0-0 Goteborg
Sunday, July 2 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 2-0 Varbergs
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: IFK Goteborg 1-0 Varbergs BoIS

Goteborg have lost only one of their last four home games, a 1-0 loss to Mjallby, and they could secure a second victory on their turf with a marginal triumph over a Varbergs side that does not travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
IFK GoteborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
59.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.15% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 18.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)46.48% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)68.76% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
IFK Goteborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)43.9% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)39.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)75.86% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    IFK Goteborg 59.5%
    Varbergs BoIS 18.34%
    Draw 22.14%
IFK GoteborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 59.5%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 18.34%

How you voted: Goteborg vs Varbergs

IFK Goteborg
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Varbergs BoIS
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Varbergs
0-4
Goteborg
Berg (44', 59'), Norlin (82'), Yakob (86')
Hahn (55'), Eriksson (90+1')
May 15, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Goteborg
1-1
Varbergs
Aiesh (31')
Thern (33')
Johansson (70')
Tranberg (47'), Le Roux (64'), Winbo (82'), Burke (90+6')
Aug 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 16
Goteborg
1-2
Varbergs
Soder (90+2')
Eriksson (43'), Johansson (80')
Tranberg (6'), Moon (49')
Simovic (43')
Jul 26, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 12
Varbergs
2-0
Goteborg
Alfonsi (5'), Moon (78' pen.)
Carlos de Brito (32')

Johansson (30')
Oct 4, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Goteborg
1-0
Varbergs
Erlingmark (39')
Calisir (47'), Yusuf (53'), Sana (88')

Birkfeldt (27'), Seljmani (52'), Mensah (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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