MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 10:30:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stora Valla

Degerfors
0 - 2
Varnamo


Korac (38'), Mammar Chaouche (85'), Orqvist (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ademi (25'), Nasstrom (81')
Grozdanic (57'), Zeljkovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Degerfors and Varnamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Degerfors
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Degerfors 1-1 Varnamo

With both teams currently on course to achieve their primary aim of survival, we can envisage them adopting a safety first approach in this match. Degerfors have been conceding far too many goals so far this season, so it would be little surprise to see them attempt to tighten things up. We are a predicting a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
DegerforsDrawVarnamo
39.98% (-6.519 -6.52) 26.3% (1.025 1.03) 33.72% (5.491 5.49)
Both teams to score 52.88% (-0.796 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-2.174 -2.17)51.74% (2.171 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-1.919 -1.92)73.51% (1.915 1.92)
Degerfors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-4.112 -4.11)25.44% (4.107 4.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-5.978 -5.98)60.26% (5.974 5.97)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (2.691 2.69)29.07% (-2.696 -2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (3.204 3.2)64.99% (-3.209 -3.21)
Score Analysis
    Degerfors 39.97%
    Varnamo 33.72%
    Draw 26.29%
DegerforsDrawVarnamo
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.715 -0.72)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-1.159 -1.16)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.87 -0.87)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-1.004 -1)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.326 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.508 -0.51)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.527 -0.53)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.62 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.14% (1.366 1.37)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.842 0.84)
0-2 @ 5.64% (1.188 1.19)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.55 0.55)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.621 0.62)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.145 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.72%

How you voted: Degerfors vs Varnamo

Degerfors
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Varnamo
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 2pm
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Varnamo
2-0
Degerfors
Johansson (5'), Antonsson (56')
Johansson (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo29188365244162
2HammarbyHammarby29166748242454
3AIK FotbollAIK29163104140151
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden2915594234850
5Mjallby AIF2913884335847
6GAISGAIS29136103433145
7ElfsborgElfsborg29135115244844
8HackenHacken29126115450442
9SiriusSirius29125124644241
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna29810114551-634
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2997133554-1934
12Halmstads BKHalmstad29103163145-1433
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg29710123342-931
14Varnamo2979133040-1030
15KalmarKalmar2976163758-2127
16Vasteras SKVasteras2955192543-1820


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!