Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Finnvedsvallen
Varnamo1 - 3Malmo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Varnamo
Sunday, June 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, June 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Degerfors
Monday, June 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Monday, June 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Varnamo 0-1 Malmo
Malmo are tipped to get a slender win over their bogey side Varnamo, having failed to score against them in both meetings last season, thus ending that winless run at the third time of asking to ward off Elfsborg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Malmo |
20.54% ( 0.17) | 22.65% ( 0.07) | 56.82% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
