Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
