Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Monza |
45.72% ( -0.05) | 26.98% ( -0.13) | 27.3% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.9% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.24% ( 0.58) | 56.76% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.3% ( 0.46) | 77.7% ( -0.47) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( 0.23) | 24.77% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.66% ( 0.33) | 59.34% ( -0.33) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.68% ( 0.47) | 36.32% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.89% ( 0.47) | 73.11% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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