Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 3Monza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Genoa
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Genoa 1-0 Monza
Among teams in the bottom half of Serie A, Genoa (33) and Monza (34) have conceded the fewest goals so far this season - and both are well-drilled by up-and-coming coaches. It could be tight and tactical, then, with only one goal separating the sides at full-time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Monza |
41.81% ( 0.05) | 27.31% ( 0.02) | 30.87% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
