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Monza
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Venezia
Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Roma logo

Monza
1 - 4
Roma

Carboni (87')
Bondo (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Monza
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Torino
Monday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-2 Roma

Both teams are now scoring regularly and will expect to take points off the other, with Monza far from pushovers on home soil. Roma's winning run may therefore be curtailed, as they settle for just one point from an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawRoma
29.86% (-0.163 -0.16) 26.91% (-0.096 -0.1) 43.23% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 49.6% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (0.298 0.3)55.31% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.243 0.24)76.53% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)70.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.26700000000001 0.27)25.37% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (0.364 0.36)60.16% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Monza 29.86%
    Roma 43.22%
    Draw 26.91%
MonzaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.22%

How you voted: Monza vs Roma

Monza
22.1%
Draw
24.4%
Roma
53.5%
86
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Roma
1-0
Monza
El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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